- Price
- 9.82 USD
- P/E fy
- 9.5
- EV/EBIT
- 7.7
- EBIT chg
- 2894.8%
- Volatility
- 82.1%
- Below 1y high
- 11.6% 1mo
Up: at the Healthcare median multiple. Down: EBIT falling 25% at today's multiple. Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.
Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.
Most of what can be measured checks out
The 11 criteria
Valuation
- Cheaper than sector peers
- EV/EBIT under 15
- Free cash flow yield over 5%
Quality
- ROIC over 10%
- Operating margin over 10%
- Gross profit over 20% of assets
- Piotroski F-Score 7 or better
Balance sheet
- Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
- Altman Z above 2.6
- Free cash flow positive
Direction
- Revenue growing over three years
- Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap
EV/EBIT of 7.7 against a Healthcare median of 22.8 — 66% below peers. Free cash flow yield 12.9%. Trading 70% below its all-time high set 2000-08-25.
Size of the gap
At the Healthcare median EV/EBIT of 22.8 instead of its current 7.7, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 208% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.
Business still intact
- ROIC 760% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
- free cash flow positive
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — accounts improving year on year
- revenue compounding at 48% over three years
- net debt 0.5x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
What this can't see
- Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
- Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
- Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says
Consensus strong buy from 11 analysts, mean target 20.82 USD, 112% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.
Targets spread 96% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.
Implied upside of 112% is unusually high. The evidence runs the other way here: stocks with the most optimistic targets tend to underperform, because the optimism bias is real and priced-in slowly. Read this as a caution, not an opportunity.
Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.
Data caveats
- latest statements are 242 days old