Shortlist

2026-09-24 07:41 UTC yfinance 3199 of 3473 usable 12 candidates 3199 searchable

Each card shows what you stand to gain and what you stand to lose, computed the same way. Up is the sector median multiple; down is the cheapest quintile, or a 25% fall in EBIT, whichever is worse. The ratio between them is the shape of the arithmetic — it is not odds, and nothing here estimates a probability. Falls are measured against the one-year high, not the all-time high — a company far below a peak set years ago has not fallen, it never recovered. P/E is from the last full fiscal year, so it will differ from the trailing-twelve-month figure quoted elsewhere. The band rates the evidence, not the investment. "Strong case" means most of what can be measured checks out — it does not mean buy, and nothing here knows your portfolio, your horizon or why the market is discounting the company. Red flags outweigh a high count. Read the filings before you act on any row.

No purchase price, no date, no share count — this is an assessment of the company right now, not of your position. Your list is stored on this device only.

Order

Sorted by gap size. The gap is the distance to the sector median multiple, not expected return — and the widest gaps are usually the ones the market has the best reason for. This order puts the most heavily discounted names first, which is also where value traps live. The evidence order exists because of that.

BCRX NASDAQ
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Healthcare
Price
8.57 USD
P/E fy
8.3
EV/EBIT
6.8
EBIT chg
2894.8%
Volatility
82.1%
Below 1y high
22.9% 2mo
+236% / -27% over 5:1

Up: at the Healthcare median multiple. Down: EBIT falling 25% at today's multiple. Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−24% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 10/11

Most of what can be measured checks out

Growing, not yet priced for itCheap and healthy
The 11 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 6.8 against a Healthcare median of 20.8 — 67% below peers. Free cash flow yield 14.7%. Trading 74% below its all-time high set 2000-08-25.

Size of the gap

At the Healthcare median EV/EBIT of 20.8 instead of its current 6.8, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 221% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 760% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — accounts improving year on year
  • revenue compounding at 48% over three years
  • net debt 0.5x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus strong buy from 11 analysts, mean target 20.82 USD, 143% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Targets spread 96% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Implied upside of 143% is unusually high. The evidence runs the other way here: stocks with the most optimistic targets tend to underperform, because the optimism bias is real and priced-in slowly. Read this as a caution, not an opportunity.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old
CARG NASDAQ
CarGurus, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
30.57 USD
P/E fy
17.5
EV/EBIT
11.1
EBIT chg
45.0%
Volatility
50.4%
Below 1y high
21.7% 9mo
+66% / -25% 2.6:1

Up: at the Consumer Cyclical median multiple. Down: EBIT falling 25% at today's multiple. Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−26% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 10/11

Most of what can be measured checks out

Growing, not yet priced for itCheap and healthy
Against it — 1 flag
Debt has risen relative to assets every year for three years.

Read off the statements over three years, not from any view about the company's prospects. What the numbers cannot tell you is whether management already has an answer.

The 11 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 11.1 against a Consumer Cyclical median of 17.6 — 37% below peers. Free cash flow yield 9.8%. Trading 45% below its all-time high set 2018-09-27.

Size of the gap

At the Consumer Cyclical median EV/EBIT of 17.6 instead of its current 11.1, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 58% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 51% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — accounts improving year on year
  • net debt 0.0x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
  • Altman Z 9.4 — outside the distress zone
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus buy from 12 analysts, mean target 41.50 USD, 36% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old
ADBE NASDAQ
Adobe Inc.
Technology
Price
240.69 USD
P/E fy
13.4
EV/EBIT
10.6
EBIT chg
26.7%
Volatility
48.0%
Below 1y high
33.5% 12mo
+183% / -25% over 5:1

Up: at the Technology median multiple. Down: EBIT falling 25% at today's multiple. Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on current earnings estimates, and analysts have been cutting them. The bet is that the cuts are finished.
−34% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 11/12

Most of what can be measured checks out

Punished, not brokenCheap and healthy
Against it — 2 flags
Debt has risen relative to assets every year for three years.
Analysts have been cutting more than raising this quarter.

Read off the statements over three years, not from any view about the company's prospects. What the numbers cannot tell you is whether management already has an answer.

The 12 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 10.6 against a Technology median of 28.6 — 63% below peers. Free cash flow yield 10.3%. Trading 65% below its all-time high set 2021-11-19.

Size of the gap

At the Technology median EV/EBIT of 28.6 instead of its current 10.6, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 169% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 63% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — accounts improving year on year
  • revenue compounding at 11% over three years
  • net debt 0.0x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus hold from 34 analysts, mean target 270.61 USD, 12% above the current price. Revisions over the last quarter have been net negative — the sell side is marking this down.

Targets spread 70% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 298 days old
ADSK NASDAQ
Autodesk, Inc.
Technology
Price
217.15 USD
P/E fy
40.4
EV/EBIT
25.4
EBIT chg
31.0%
Volatility
45.2%
Below 1y high
33.2% 12mo
+18% / -47% 0.4:1

Up: at the Technology median multiple. Down: re-rating to the sector's cheapest quintile (13.5x). Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−33% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 10/11

Most of what can be measured checks out

Punished, not brokenGrowing, not yet priced for it
The 11 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 25.4 against a Technology median of 28.6 — 11% below peers. Free cash flow yield 5.2%. Trading 37% below its all-time high set 2021-08-25.

Size of the gap

At the Technology median EV/EBIT of 28.6 instead of its current 25.4, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 13% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 40% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — accounts improving year on year
  • revenue compounding at 13% over three years
  • net debt 0.1x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus strong buy from 34 analysts, mean target 314.57 USD, 45% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Targets spread 75% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 236 days old
PPC NASDAQ
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation
Consumer Defensive
Price
27.63 USD
P/E fy
6.1
EV/EBIT
5.6
EBIT chg
5.7%
Volatility
57.2%
Below 1y high
36.9% 7mo
+271% / -35% over 5:1

Up: at the Consumer Defensive median multiple. Down: EBIT falling 25% at today's multiple. Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−38% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 10/11

Most of what can be measured checks out

Punished, not brokenCheap and healthy
The 11 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 5.6 against a Consumer Defensive median of 16.2 — 66% below peers. Free cash flow yield 7.1%. Trading 47% below its all-time high set 2025-04-23.

Size of the gap

At the Consumer Defensive median EV/EBIT of 16.2 instead of its current 5.6, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 268% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 19% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — accounts improving year on year
  • net debt 1.3x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
  • Altman Z 3.4 — outside the distress zone
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus hold from 7 analysts, mean target 33.64 USD, 22% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Targets spread 42% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old
ERIC NASDAQ
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)
Technology
Price
9.73 SEK
P/E fy
1.1
EV/EBIT
0.4
EBIT chg
567.8%
Volatility
44.4%
Below 1y high
29.2% 3mo

No two-sided case — see the bet below.

What you'd be betting onImplied upside of 3837% is too large to trust. At this size the likeliest explanations are a data error or earnings that are about to fall, not an opportunity the market missed. Verify EBIT and market cap against the filings before reading anything else here.
−29% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 9/11

Most of what can be measured checks out

Cheap and healthy
Against it — 1 flag
Revenue has declined every year for three years.

Read off the statements over three years, not from any view about the company's prospects. What the numbers cannot tell you is whether management already has an answer.

The 11 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 0.4 against a Technology median of 28.6 — 99% below peers. Free cash flow yield 201.0%. Trading 87% below its all-time high set 2000-03-03.

Size of the gap

At the Technology median EV/EBITDA of 19.1 instead of its current 0.3, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about n/a more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 33% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9 — accounts improving year on year
  • net debt -0.3x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
  • operating margin 17%
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

mean target 9.67 SEK, 1% below the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Targets spread 35% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Trading 1% above the consensus target — the sell side thinks it is expensive.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old
  • EV/EBIT below 1 — almost always a data error, not a bargain
BKNG NASDAQ
Booking Holdings Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
155.90 USD
P/E fy
21.7
EV/EBIT
14.1
EBIT chg
-1.6%
Volatility
59.6%
Below 1y high
29.5% 12mo
+32% / -25% 1.2:1

Up: at the Consumer Cyclical median multiple. Down: EBIT falling 25% at today's multiple. Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−31% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 8/9

Most of what can be measured checks out

Growing, not yet priced for it
Against it — 1 flag
Debt has risen relative to assets every year for three years.

Read off the statements over three years, not from any view about the company's prospects. What the numbers cannot tell you is whether management already has an answer.

The 9 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 14.1 against a Consumer Cyclical median of 17.6 — 20% below peers. Free cash flow yield 7.6%. Trading 32% below its all-time high set 2025-07-07.

Size of the gap

At the Consumer Cyclical median EV/EBIT of 17.6 instead of its current 14.1, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 25% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • free cash flow positive
  • revenue compounding at 16% over three years
  • net debt 0.2x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
  • Altman Z 6.1 — outside the distress zone
  • operating margin 31%
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus buy from 36 analysts, mean target 237.81 USD, 53% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Targets spread 48% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old
ACGL NASDAQ
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Financial Services
Price
95.16 USD
P/E fy
7.4
EV/EBIT
4.6
EBIT chg
11.1%
Volatility
28.9%
Below 1y high
10.6% 1mo
+117% / -18% over 5:1

Up: at the Financial Services median multiple. Down: EBIT falling 25% at today's multiple. Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−11% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 7/8

Most of what can be measured checks out

Cheap and healthy
The 8 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 4.6 against a Financial Services median of 8.5 — 46% below peers. Free cash flow yield 25.9%.

Size of the gap

At the Financial Services median EV/EBIT of 8.5 instead of its current 4.6, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 61% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 28% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • revenue compounding at 26% over three years
  • operating margin 27%
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus buy from 19 analysts, mean target 111.87 USD, 18% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old
ETOR NASDAQ
eToro Group Ltd.
Financial Services
Price
27.18 USD
P/E fy
10.0
EV/EBIT
3.2
EBIT chg
3.5%
Volatility
60.0%
Below 1y high
39.6% 12mo
+120% / -11% over 5:1

Up: at the Financial Services median multiple. Down: EBIT falling 25% at today's multiple. Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−40% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 9/11

Most of what can be measured checks out

Growing, not yet priced for it
The 11 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 3.2 against a Financial Services median of 8.5 — 62% below peers. Free cash flow yield 33.2%. Trading 64% below its all-time high set 2025-06-09.

Size of the gap

At the Financial Services median EV/EBIT of 8.5 instead of its current 3.2, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 72% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 144% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • revenue compounding at 30% over three years
  • net debt -4.0x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
  • Altman Z 12.5 — outside the distress zone
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus buy from 14 analysts, mean target 48.43 USD, 78% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Targets spread 118% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Implied upside of 78% is unusually high. The evidence runs the other way here: stocks with the most optimistic targets tend to underperform, because the optimism bias is real and priced-in slowly. Read this as a caution, not an opportunity.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • only 342 days of price history — drawdown vs high is unreliable
  • latest statements are 267 days old
PYPL NASDAQ
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
Financial Services
Price
52.51 USD
P/E fy
8.6
EV/EBIT
6.6
EBIT chg
17.9%
Volatility
38.6%
Below 1y high
30.3% 11mo
+81% / -30% 2.7:1

Up: at the Financial Services median multiple. Down: re-rating to the sector's cheapest quintile (4.6x). Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−34% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 10/12

Most of what can be measured checks out

Cheap and healthy
The 12 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 6.6 against a Financial Services median of 8.5 — 22% below peers. Free cash flow yield 12.5%. Trading 83% below its all-time high set 2021-07-23.

Size of the gap

At the Financial Services median EV/EBIT of 8.5 instead of its current 6.6, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 28% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 28% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • Piotroski F-Score 9/9 — accounts improving year on year
  • revenue compounding at 6% over three years
  • net debt -0.1x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus hold from 33 analysts, mean target 59.77 USD, 14% above the current price. Revisions over the last quarter have been net positive, which is the part of analyst output the evidence actually supports.

Targets spread 186% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old
NTES NASDAQ
NetEase, Inc.
Communication Services
Price
117.02 CNY
P/E fy
2.2
EV/EBIT
-2.3
EBIT chg
21.1%
Volatility
55.7%
Below 1y high
22.1% 11mo

No two-sided case — see the bet below.

What you'd be betting onNot enough peer data to price a downside — treat the upside figure as unbounded on the wrong side.
−25% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 9/9

Most of what can be measured checks out

Cheap and healthy
The 9 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

P/E of 2.2 against a Communication Services median of 14.4 — 85% below peers.

Size of the gap

No usable re-rating gap: the multiple is at or above its sector median, or the inputs were missing.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 692% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9 — accounts improving year on year
  • revenue compounding at 5% over three years
  • net debt -4.1x EBITDA — balance sheet not forcing anything
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

Consensus strong buy from 32 analysts, mean target 161.33 CNY, 38% above the current price. No revision activity in the last quarter.

Targets spread 42% of the mean — analysts disagree sharply, and consensus loses its information content when they do.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old
HARL.TA Tel Aviv
Harel Insurance Investments & Financial Services Ltd
Financial Services
Price
195.80 ILS
P/E fy
13.5
EV/EBIT
6.4
EBIT chg
86.9%
Volatility
34.9%
Below 1y high
4.9% 4mo
+75% / -24% 3.0:1

Up: at the Financial Services median multiple. Down: re-rating to the sector's cheapest quintile (4.6x). Both are arithmetic on today's earnings — neither is a probability.

What you'd be betting onThe case rests on earnings holding and the multiple normalising. The question the numbers cannot answer is why the market disagrees — that is in the filings and the news.
−6% below the 52-week high Not measurable

Not enough quarterly data to say whether earnings held up while the price fell.

Strong case 7/8

Most of what can be measured checks out

Cheap and healthy
Against it — 1 flag
Debt has risen relative to assets every year for three years.

Read off the statements over three years, not from any view about the company's prospects. What the numbers cannot tell you is whether management already has an answer.

The 8 criteria

Valuation

  • Cheaper than sector peers
  • EV/EBIT under 15
  • Free cash flow yield over 5%

Quality

  • ROIC over 10%
  • Operating margin over 10%
  • Gross profit over 20% of assets
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 or better

Balance sheet

  • Net debt under 2.5x EBITDA
  • Altman Z above 2.6
  • Free cash flow positive

Direction

  • Revenue growing over three years
  • Analyst revisions not negative
Why it's cheap

EV/EBIT of 6.4 against a Financial Services median of 8.5 — 24% below peers. Free cash flow yield 14.3%.

Size of the gap

At the Financial Services median EV/EBIT of 8.5 instead of its current 6.4, and with earnings unchanged, the equity would be worth about 28% more. That is the size of the gap, not a forecast that it closes.

Business still intact
  • ROIC 54% — still earning above a plausible cost of capital
  • free cash flow positive
  • revenue compounding at 31% over three years
  • operating margin 19%
What this can't see
  • Why the market is discounting this — needs the filings and the news
  • Whether earnings are about to fall and justify the current multiple
  • Only 1 analyst estimate(s) — thin coverage
  • Data warnings on this row — see caveats below
What the sell side says

mean target 150.00 ILS, 23% below the current price. Revisions over the last quarter are balanced.

Only 1 analyst estimate(s) — too few for a consensus to mean much.

Trading 23% above the consensus target — the sell side thinks it is expensive.

Price target levels are shown as context only and never feed the score. Targets are reached roughly half the time and the most optimistic ones tend to underperform. Revision direction is the part that carries information.

Data caveats
  • latest statements are 267 days old